Monday, November 17, 2014

REALTORS South Bay Election Wrap-Up: The Hangover, Part 4

The morning after the November 4 mid-term elections, President Obama woke up to a fresh new set of headaches after the Republicans strengthened their grip on the House and took possession of the Senate. Sen Mitch McConnell (R-Ky) not only did not lose his reelection but now he finds himself in a new job – Senate Majority Leader. In his election night victory speech, McConnell reiterated his opposition to the President’s agenda and then in the next breath said that his party was obligated to work with the President in governance where they can.

"I don't expect the president to wake up tomorrow and view the world any differently than he did when he woke up this morning," McConnell said. "He knows I won't either. But I do think we have an obligation to work together on issues where we can agree. Just because we have a two-party system doesn't mean we have to be in perpetual conflict." - NPR

In keep with REALTOR® profession’s support for nonpartisanship, such cooperation and adult supervision can only be hoped for.

Locally, California did not disappoint in its tendency to move in the opposite direction of national trends. The Democrats racked up impressive victories, except for a few surprises that have direct impact on the South Bay. The turnout in Los Angeles County was reported to be 25%. Here is a run-down of local elections results that impact REALTORS® in the South Bay:

California Governor
“I’m surprised that Jerry Brown won reelection,” said no living human being ever. The governor’s race was called for Brown early on election night when barely 16,000 votes had been counted. Jerry Brown easily won reelection with almost no campaigning, 66% - 33%.

County Supervisor, 3rd District
Sheila Kuehl edged out Bobby Shriver to replace the legendary Zev Yaroslavsky for the powerful county district that represents most of West Los Angeles. Both Democrats in a non-partisan race, each one tried to run to the left of the other in this very liberal-progressive district. Shriver was heavily supported by the business community and by REALTORS®.

Congressional District 33
Democrat Ted Lieu (supported by RPAC) defeated Republican Elan Carr 58% - 41%. Ted will soon catch a plane to take the loneliest job in the world – that of freshman Democrat in the current U.S. Congress.

Congressional District 43
To little surprise, the formidable Maxine Waters defeated Republican challenger John Wood, 70% - 30%. Waters was supported by RPAC.

Congressional District 44
To even less surprise, incumbent Democrat Janice Hahn defeated challenger Adam Shbeita, 87% - 12%. Hahn was supported by RPAC.

State Senate District 26
Ben Allen comfortably beat out Sandra Fluke to this seat by a margin of 60% - 39%. CREPAC did not take a position on this race.

Assembly District 64
Mike Gipson, currently a Councilmember in Carson, defeated Prophet Walker by a margin of 64% - 36%. Gipson ran a textbook campaign, with a strong ground game and constant presence on social media. Gipson was supported by CREPAC.

Assembly District 62
Democrat Autumn Burke (75%) defeated Republican Ted Grose (25%) and extended the political dynasty of her family as the daughter of Yvonne Burke, the retired LA County Supervisor. Burke was supported by CREPAC.
  
Assembly District 66
Republican challenger David Hadley launched an early, grassroots-y campaign and sprinkled the district with signs, perhaps before many of incumbent Al Muratsuchi’s own signs appeared. Late in the campaign, Hadley’s supporters fired a barrage of negative attacks over social media, while Muratsuchi’s campaign hit back with news about contributions to the Hadley campaign. As of election night, David Hadley squeaked past Al Muratsuchi, 51.43% to 48.57%, or a margin of 2,329 votes. At the date of this writing, the California Secretary of State has labeled this race as a “Close Contest” where there is a margin of less than two percentage points between the candidates. In these races, election officials make take up to 28 days after the election to fully count all provisional ballots and vote-by-mail ballots. Muratsuchi was supported by CREPAC.

Los Angeles County Sheriff
Jim McDonnell, currently the Long Beach Police Chief, cruised to an easy victory over Paul Tanaka, currently Mayor of Gardena and retired commander of the Sheriff’s Department. The margin was 75% - 25%.

Los Angeles County Assessor
In another squeaker, Jeff Prang (50.52%) inched past John Morris (49.48%) to win the race for County Assessor by a margin of 9,036 votes. Conventional wisdom had pegged Prang to easily win this race, however it proved difficult against Morris. Prang and Morris had both picked up support from various REALTOR® associations throughout the county. It is expected that Prang will watch an old VHS of the 1972 Robert Redford movie “The Candidate”, and then walk into the tattered Assessor’s office and say, “What do we do now?”

BALLOT MEASURES

State Measure 1: Water Bond
Jerry Brown stumped hard for this water bond measure, which easily won 70% - 30%. 

Hermosa Beach Special Measure Q
A school Improvement bond, Measure Q failed with Hermosa Beach voters by a thin margin of 52% - 47%. It needed 55% to pass.

Santa Monica Transfer Tax
Two measures were on the ballot, Propositions H and HH, which collectively sought to raise the documentary transfer tax for affordable housing funds. Proposition H sought to triple the documentary transfer tax to $9 per $1,000 of sale price. Proposition HH was an advisory only regarding the use of transfer tax revenues for affordable housing purposes. In a split vote, Proposition H lost by a wide margin of 57% - 42%, while Proposition HH won 50.08% - 49.92%, a razor-thin margin of just 35 votes. Despite the victory of the advisory item in HH, it is currently not meaningful given the failure of the actual proposal to raise the transfer tax.

County Measure P
A $23 parcel tax to pay for parks (“P” for “parks”, get it?) passed 62% - 37%. In its opposition to this measure, the Los Angeles Times complained that the County Supervisors’ process for slipping this measure onto the ballot was typical of their closed-door, super-secret style of governance.



Monday, November 3, 2014

Manhattan Beach REALTORS host Mayor Wayne Powell

Members of the South Bay Association of REALTORS® hosted newly-installed Mayor Wayne Powell to a well-attended breakfast meeting and heard an overview of pressing issues in the city. Mayor Powell's talk included plans for rezoning the Manhattan Beach downtown area which may affect how real estate offices can locate themselves in that highly desirable corridor of commercial real estate.

City Councilmember Wayne Powell took on the rotating role of Mayor in October, following Councilmember Amy Howorth who was previously Mayor of the city. Mayor Powell covered quite a bit of ground, discussing a wide range of issues.

Whither downtown?


The long, ongoing saga of downtown continues forward with important steps to help residents, businesses and other stakeholders weigh in on downtown's future. The City of Manhattan Beach has entered into a contract with the highly-respected Urban Land Institute (ULI) to interview key stakeholders and prepare a report which will help the City Council determine the next steps in this process.

SBAOR applauds the selection of ULI and looks forward to working closely with ULI, the City Council, and other stakeholders to help lay the groundwork for a vibrant Manhattan Beach Downtown for years to come.

This event was the latest in SBAOR's popular "Breakfast with the Mayor" series, with more than 90 people in attendance. Watch this space and mark your calendar for the next event, "Breakfast with the Mayor of Torrance, Pat Furey" on December 4, 2014.

From left: SBAOR President-Elect Michele Brown, Manhattan Beach Mayor Wayne Powell, SBAOR President Tamara Suminski, SBAOR Government Affairs Chair Mina Semenza


Mayor Wayne Powell addresses a sellout crowd at SBAOR's Breakfast with the Mayor


Members of SBAOR Community Committee and Government Affairs Committee with Manhattan Beach Mayor Wayne Powell